Results for 'social predictions'

962 found
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  1. Social Prediction and the "Allegiance Bias".Keith Markman & Edward Hirt - 2002 - Social Cognition 20 (1):58-86.
    Two studies examined the allegiance bias – the rendering of biased predictions by individuals who are psychologically invested in a desired outcome. In Study 1, fans of either Notre Dame or University of Miami college football read information about an upcoming game between the two teams and then explained a hypothetical victory either by Notre Dame or Miami. Although explaining a hypothetical victory biased the judgments of controls (i.e., fans of neither team) in the direction of the team explained, (...)
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  2.  61
    The Limits of Social Prediction.Quentin Gibson - 1968 - The Monist 52 (3):359-373.
    The question I wish to raise in this article is whether there is any limit in principle to the prediction of social events. I am not concerned with the practical possibility of such predictions, most of which no doubt will never be made.
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  3.  29
    Historical Materialism and Social Prediction.A. Bauer & V. Eichhorn - 1969 - Russian Studies in Philosophy 8 (3):235-251.
    The prediction of phenomena and processes in society poses a number of philosophical problems distinct from those involved in the prediction of natural processes. Societal prognosis encompasses primarily the conditions and connections arising, in the final analysis, in the practical activity of individuals, social groups, and class forces.
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  4.  23
    Being socially uninterested versus not having social prediction skills: The impact of multisensory integration deficits on social skills in autism.Giuseppe Riva, Daniele Di Lernia & Antonios Dakanalis - 2019 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 42.
    Jaswal & Akhtar in their target article convincingly argue that subjects with autism do not have diminished social motivation. However, they still recognize that autistic people behave socially in an unusual way. Why? Here we suggest that these behaviours are the results of a multisensory integration deficit. Viewed from this perspective, the assumption that autistic people's unusual behaviours indicate diminished social motivation has to be replaced by the one that they have diminished social prediction skills.
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  5.  23
    Return of the ego--Self-referent information as a filter for social prediction: Comment on Karniol (2003).Joachim I. Krueger - 2003 - Psychological Review 110 (3):585-590.
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  6.  70
    Predictive Success and Non-Individualist Models in Social Science.Richard Lauer - 2017 - Philosophy of the Social Sciences 47 (2):145-161.
    The predictive inadequacy of the social sciences is well documented, and philosophers have sought to diagnose it. This paper examines Brian Epstein’s recent diagnosis. He argues that the social sciences treat the social world as entirely composed of individual people. Instead, social scientists should recognize that material, non-individualistic entities determine the social world, as well. First, I argue that Epstein’s argument both begs the question against his opponents and is not sufficiently charitable. Second, I present (...)
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  7.  30
    Observing others stay or switch – How social prediction errors are integrated into reward reversal learning.Niklas Ihssen, Thomas Mussweiler & David E. J. Linden - 2016 - Cognition 153 (C):19-32.
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  8.  20
    Egocentrism versus protocentrism: The status of self in social prediction.Rachel Karniol - 2003 - Psychological Review 110 (3):564-580.
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  9.  21
    When egocentrism breeds distinctness--Comparison processes in social prediction: Comment on Karniol (2003).Thomas Mussweiler - 2003 - Psychological Review 110 (3):581-584.
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  10.  20
    On the status of self in social prediction: Comment on Karniol (2003).Constantine Sedikides - 2003 - Psychological Review 110 (3):591-594.
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  11. Social Cognition, Social Skill, and Social Motivation Minimally Predict Social Interaction Outcomes for Autistic and Non-Autistic Adults.Kerrianne E. Morrison, Kilee M. DeBrabander, Desiree R. Jones, Robert A. Ackerman & Noah J. Sasson - 2020 - Frontiers in Psychology 11.
    Social cognition, social skill, and social motivation have been extensively researched and characterized as atypical in autistic people, with the assumption that each mechanistically contributes to the broader social interaction difficulties that diagnostically define the condition. Despite this assumption, research has not directly assessed whether or how these three social domains contribute to actual real-world social interaction outcomes for autistic people. The current study administered standardized measures of social cognition, social skill, and (...)
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  12.  59
    Prediction in Social Science — The Case of Research on the Human Resource Management-Organisational Performance Link.Steve Fleetwood & Anthony Hesketh - 2006 - Journal of Critical Realism 5 (2):228-250.
    Despite inroads made by critical realism against the ‘scientific method’ in social science, the latter remains strong in subject-areas like human resource management. One argument for the alleged superiority of the scientific method lies in the taken-for-granted belief that it alone can formulate empirically testable predictions. Many of those who employ the scientific method are, however, confused about the way they understand and practice prediction. This paper takes as a case study empirical research on the alleged empirical association (...)
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  13.  37
    Predicting and explaining with machine learning models: Social science as a touchstone.Oliver Buchholz & Thomas Grote - 2023 - Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 102 (C):60-69.
    Machine learning (ML) models recently led to major breakthroughs in predictive tasks in the natural sciences. Yet their benefits for the social sciences are less evident, as even high-profile studies on the prediction of life trajectories have shown to be largely unsuccessful – at least when measured in traditional criteria of scientific success. This paper tries to shed light on this remarkable performance gap. Comparing two social science case studies to a paradigm example from the natural sciences, we (...)
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  14.  9
    Prediction of post-traumatic growth in the face of the COVID-19 crisis based on resilience, post-traumatic stress and social participation: A longitudinal study.Paula Collazo-Castiñeira, Rocío Rodríguez-Rey, Helena Garrido-Hernansaiz & Silvia Collado - 2022 - Frontiers in Psychology 13.
    The COVID-19 crisis has generated a severe and negative psychological impact worldwide. Despite this, it is also possible to experience post-traumatic growth. This study aimed to longitudinally explore the prevalence of PTG in the Spanish population and test a predictive model for PTG from resilience, post-traumatic stress symptoms, and participation in social activities. Data were collected longitudinally in March, July, and November 2020 via an online survey. About 20% of the sample showed moderate-high levels of PTG, with no significant (...)
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  15. Prediction Markets: The Practical and Normative Possibilities for the Social Production of Knowledge.George Bragues - 2009 - Episteme 6 (1):91-106.
    The quest to foretell the future is omnipresent in human affairs. A potential solution to this epistemological conundrum has emerged through mass collaboration. Motored by the Internet, prediction markets allow a multitude of individuals to assume a stake in a security whose value is tied to a future event. The resulting prices offer a continuously updated probability estimate of the event actually taking place. This paper gives a survey of prediction markets, their history, mechanics, uses, and theoretical foundation. We also (...)
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  16.  35
    Social Action Effects: Representing Predicted Partner Responses in Social Interactions.Bence Neszmélyi, Lisa Weller, Wilfried Kunde & Roland Pfister - 2022 - Frontiers in Human Neuroscience 16.
    The sociomotor framework outlines a possible role of social action effects on human action control, suggesting that anticipated partner reactions are a major cue to represent, select, and initiate own body movements. Here, we review studies that elucidate the actual content of social action representations and that explore factors that can distinguish action control processes involving social and inanimate action effects. Specifically, we address two hypotheses on how the social context can influence effect-based action control: first, (...)
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  17.  25
    Integrating social influence modeling and user modeling for trust prediction in signed networks.Hui Fang, Xiaoming Li & Jie Zhang - 2022 - Artificial Intelligence 302 (C):103628.
  18.  18
    Prediction of Big Data Analytics (BDA) on Social Media: Empirical Study.Ahed J. Alkhatib, Shadi Mohammad Alkhatib & Hani Bani Salameh - 2020 - Dialogo 7 (1):225-240.
    Currently, most studies are moving towards Big Data Analytics because they are important in research, and this is becoming increasingly important as Internet and Web 2.0 technologies become increasingly popular and how to handle this massive data. Moreover, this proliferation of the Internet and social media has revolutionized the search process. With this Big Data of data generated by users using social media or electronic platforms, the use of these details and daily activities is integrated with tools designed (...)
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  19.  20
    Applying Social Cognitive Theory in Predicting Physical Activity Among Chinese Adolescents: A Cross-Sectional Study With Multigroup Structural Equation Model.Jianxiu Liu, Muchuan Zeng, Dizhi Wang, Yao Zhang, Borui Shang & Xindong Ma - 2022 - Frontiers in Psychology 12.
    This cross-sectional study aimed to assess the applicability of social cognitive determinants among the Chinese adolescents and examine whether the predictability of the social cognitive theory model on physical activity differs across gender and urbanization. A total of 3,000 Chinese adolescents ranging between the ages of 12–15 years were randomly selected to complete a set of questionnaires. Structural equation modeling was applied to investigate the relationships between social cognitive variables and PA in the urbanization and gender subgroups. (...)
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  20.  67
    Prediction Error Minimization as a Framework for Social Cognition Research.Leon de Bruin & John Michael - 2018 - Erkenntnis 86 (1):1-20.
    The main aim of this article is to give an assessment of prediction error minimization as a unifying theoretical framework for the study of social cognition. We show how this framework can be used to synthesize and systematically relate existing data from social cognition research, and explain how it introduces new constraints for further research. We discuss PEM in relation to other theoretical frameworks of social cognition, and identify the main challenges that this approach to social (...)
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  21. Prediction.Gregor Betz - 2011 - In Ian Jarvie & Jesus Zamora-Bonilla (eds.), Handbook of Philosophy of Social Science. Sage Publications.
    Predictive success as an aim of science -- On the very possibility of prediction in the social sciences -- Empirical facts about social prediction: its mode, object and performance -- Understanding poor forecast performance.
     
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  22.  48
    Predicting corporate social responsiveness: A model drawn from three perspectives. [REVIEW]Barbara Beliveau, Melville Cottrill & Hugh M. O'Neill - 1994 - Journal of Business Ethics 13 (9):731 - 738.
    Most studies of corporate social responsiveness (CSR) focus on the relationship between CSR and profit. Here, we use three perspectives (institutional theory, economic theory and agency theory) to explain CSR. Industry norms, market share and indicators of management reputation predict variance in CSR. The combined perspectives improve understanding of both CSR and the CSR-profit relationship in two ways. First, they suggest that CSR levels and their relationship with profit will vary by industry. Second, they suggest that stock market measures (...)
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  23.  23
    Social media: Does it always hurt? Self-compassion and narcissism as mediators of social media’s predicting effect on self-esteem and body image and gender effect: A study on a Polish community sample.Magdalena Mosanya, Patarycja Uram & Dagna Kocur - forthcoming - Polish Psychological Bulletin:11-25.
    Extensive social media usage causes psychological dependence and impacts people’s self-evaluations. It is vital to seek possible buffers to social media addiction’s detrimental effect on self-esteem and body image. Poland has one of the highest scores on problematic social media usage. Past studies pointed to narcissism and self-compassion as possible mediators of such effects. The present study aimed to explore Polish individuals’ (N=527) social media usage habits. We hypothesised gender differences and social media addiction predictive (...)
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  24.  47
    Prediction of attendance at fitness center: a comparison between the theory of planned behavior, the social cognitive theory, and the physical activity maintenance theory.Darko Jekauc, Manuel Vã¶Lkle, Matthias O. Wagner, Filip Mess, Miriam Reiner & Britta Renner - 2015 - Frontiers in Psychology 6.
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  25.  20
    Common Predictive Factors of Social Media Addiction and Eating Disorder Symptoms in Female College Students: State Anxiety and the Mediating Role of Cognitive Flexibility/Sustained Attention.Zhonghua He, Mingde Li, Chanjun Liu & Xiaoyue Ma - 2022 - Frontiers in Psychology 12.
    This study aimed to investigate the common predictive factors between social media addiction and eating disorder symptoms, in a group of Chinese female college students. A total of 216 students completed the behavioral assessments of cognitive flexibility and sustained attention, as well as the questionnaires on anxiety, social media dependence, and eating disorders. The results indicate that SMA is significantly correlated with EDS. Structural equation modeling was used to test the model in which state anxiety, cognitive flexibility, and (...)
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  26.  57
    Using Social Identity Theory to Predict Managers' Emphases on Ethical and Legal Values in Judging Business Issues.John A. Pearce - 2013 - Journal of Business Ethics 112 (3):497-514.
    The need to fill three gaps in ethics research in a business context sparked the current study. First, the distinction between the concepts of “ethical” and “legal” needs to be incorporated into theory building and empiricism. Second, a unifying theory is needed that can explain the variables that influence managers to emphasize ethics and legality in their judgments. Third, empirical evidence is needed to confirm the predictive power of the unifying theory, the discernable influence of personal and organizational variables, and (...)
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  27.  15
    The Predictive Value of the NEO-FFI Items: Parsing the Nature of Social Anhedonia Using the Revised Social Anhedonia Scale and the ACIPS.Diane C. Gooding, Emily R. Padrutt & Madeline J. Pflum - 2017 - Frontiers in Psychology 8.
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  28.  56
    Social-science perspectives on bioethics: Predictive genetic testing (PGT) in asia. [REVIEW]Margaret Sleeboom-Faulkner - 2007 - Journal of Bioethical Inquiry 4 (3):197-206.
    In this essay, I indicate how social-science approaches can throw light on predictive genetic testing (PGT) in various societal contexts. In the first section, I discuss definitions of various forms of PGT, and point out their inherent ambiguity and inappropriateness when taken out of an ideal–typical context. In section two, I argue further that an ethics approach proceeding from the point of view of the abstract individual in a given society should be supplemented by an approach that regards bioethics (...)
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  29.  31
    From pool to profile: Social consequences of algorithmic prediction in insurance.Elena Esposito & Alberto Cevolini - 2020 - Big Data and Society 7 (2).
    The use of algorithmic prediction in insurance is regarded as the beginning of a new era, because it promises to personalise insurance policies and premiums on the basis of individual behaviour and level of risk. The core idea is that the price of the policy would no longer refer to the calculated uncertainty of a pool of policyholders, with the consequence that everyone would have to pay only for her real exposure to risk. For insurance, however, uncertainty is not only (...)
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  30.  32
    Ethical and social implications of approaching death prediction in humans - when the biology of ageing meets existential issues.Marie Gaille, Marco Araneda, Clément Dubost, Clémence Guillermain, Sarah Kaakai, Elise Ricadat, Nicolas Todd & Michael Rera - 2020 - BMC Medical Ethics 21 (1):1-13.
    BackgroundThe discovery of biomarkers of ageing has led to the development of predictors of impending natural death and has paved the way for personalised estimation of the risk of death in the general population. This study intends to identify the ethical resources available to approach the idea of a long-lasting dying process and consider the perspective of death prediction. The reflection on human mortality is necessary but not sufficient to face this issue. Knowledge about death anticipation in clinical contexts allows (...)
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  31. Prediction in Social Science - The Case of Research on the Human Resource Management-Organisational Performance Link.SteveAnthony FleetwoodHesketh - 2006 - Journal of Critical Realism 5 (2):228-250.
    _ Source: _Volume 5, Issue 2, pp 228 - 250 Despite inroads made by critical realism against the ‘scientific method’ in social science, the latter remains strong in subject-areas like human resource management. One argument for the alleged superiority of the scientific method lies in the taken-for-granted belief that it alone can formulate empirically testable predictions. Many of those who employ the scientific method are, however, confused about the way they understand and practice prediction. This paper takes as (...)
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  32.  15
    Predicting ethnicity with first names in online social media networks.Niek C. de Schipper & Bas Hofstra - 2018 - Big Data and Society 5 (1).
    Social scientists increasingly use social media data to illuminate long-standing substantive questions in social science research. However, a key challenge of analyzing such data is their lower level of individual detail compared to highly detailed survey data. This limits the scope of substantive questions that can be addressed with these data. In this study, we provide a method to upgrade individual detail in terms of ethnicity in data gathered from social media via the use of register (...)
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  33.  54
    Prediction in chaotic social, economic, and political conditions: The conflict between traditional chaos theory and the psychology of prediction, and some implications for general evolution theory.David Loye - 1995 - World Futures 44 (1):15-31.
    (1995). Prediction in chaotic social, economic, and political conditions: The conflict between traditional chaos theory and the psychology of prediction, and some implications for general evolution theory. World Futures: Vol. 44, No. 1, pp. 15-31.
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  34. Predicting the Future of Preterm Infants: Should We Use Quality of Life and Social Determinants Criteria?Antoine Payot - 2015 - In Annie Janvier & Eduard Verhagen (eds.), Ethical Dilemmas for Critically Ill Babies. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands.
     
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  35.  33
    The Social Modulation of Pain: Others as Predictive Signals of Salience – a Systematic Review.Charlotte Krahé, Anne Springer, John A. Weinman & Aikaterini Fotopoulou - 2013 - Frontiers in Human Neuroscience 7.
  36.  41
    Prediction, projection, and social prognosis.Robert Solo - 1955 - Journal of Philosophy 52 (17):459-464.
  37.  23
    Social Relationship Prediction Integrating Personality Traits and Asymmetric Interactions.Chunhua Ju, Geyao Li, Fuguang Bao, Ting Gao & Yiling Zhu - 2022 - Frontiers in Psychology 13.
    Social networks have become an important way for users to find friends and expand their social circle. Social networks can improve users’ experience by recommending more suitable friends to them. The key lies in improving the accuracy of link prediction, which is also the main research issue of this study. In the study of personality traits, some scholars have proved that personality can be used to predict users’ behavior in social networks. Based on these studies, this (...)
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  38.  51
    Social justice in education: how the function of selection in educational institutions predicts support for egalitarian assessment practices.Frédérique Autin, Anatolia Batruch & Fabrizio Butera - 2015 - Frontiers in Psychology 6.
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  39.  26
    Sign Prediction on Unlabeled Social Networks Using Branch and Bound Optimized Transfer Learning.Weiwei Yuan, Jiali Pang, Donghai Guan, Yuan Tian, Abdullah Al-Dhelaan & Mohammed Al-Dhelaan - 2019 - Complexity 2019:1-11.
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  40.  15
    Which firms opt for corporate social responsibility assurance? A machine learning prediction.Ephraim Kwashie Thompson & Samuel Buertey - 2023 - Business Ethics, the Environment and Responsibility 32 (2):599-611.
    On the background of voluntary assurances made by corporations in line with the assertions in their corporate social responsibility disclosures, we investigate which types of firms will obtain an independent certification of their corporate social responsibility disclosures. The study is based on firms listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) from 2015 to 2019. Deviating from traditional regression approaches, we employ machine learning techniques and show that machine learning techniques obtain superior performance compared to traditional logistic regression at (...)
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  41.  58
    Predictive genetic testing in asia: Social science perspectives on the bioethics of choice. [REVIEW]Margaret Sleeboom-Faulkner - 2007 - Journal of Bioethical Inquiry 4 (3):193-195.
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  42.  42
    Modeling Climate Policies: The Social Cost of Carbon and Uncertainties in Climate Predictions.Mathias Frisch - 2018 - In Elisabeth A. Lloyd & Eric Winsberg (eds.), Climate Modelling: Philosophical and Conceptual Issues. Springer Verlag. pp. 413-448.
    This chapter examines two approaches to climate policy: expected utility calculations and a precautionary approach. The former provides the framework for attempts to calculate the social cost of carbon. The latter approach has provided the guiding principle for the United Nations Conference of Parties from the 1992 Rio Declaration to the Paris Agreement. The chapter argues that the deep uncertainties concerning the climate system and climate damages make the exercise of trying to calculate a well-supported value for the SCC (...)
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  43.  91
    Prediction in the social sciences.Oscar Kaplan - 1940 - Philosophy of Science 7 (4):492-498.
    The ability to predict events within its field indicates that a science has reached a high level of development, that its essential facts stand in systematic relationship to each other. It is important to note that prediction does not always culminate in control, but effective control is impossible without it. Thus, medicine can predict the course of certain fatal diseases with which it is unable to cope, and the astronomer can forsee eclipses and other cosmic events, yet remain powerless to (...)
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  44.  19
    Stress‐Induced Depression: Is Social Rank a Predictive Risk Factor?Thomas Larrieu & Carmen Sandi - 2018 - Bioessays 40 (7):1800012.
    An intriguing question in the field of stress is what makes an individual more likely to be susceptible or resilient to stress‐induced depression. Predisposition to stress susceptibility is believed to be influenced by genetic factors and early adversity. However, beyond genetics and life experiences, recent evidence has highlighted social rank as a key determinant of susceptibility to stress, underscoring dominant individuals as the vulnerable ones. This evidence is in conflict with epidemiological, clinical, and animal work pointing at a link (...)
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  45.  52
    The future in reports: Prediction, commitment and legitimization in corporate social responsibility.Marina Bondi - 2016 - Pragmatics and Society 7 (1):57-81.
    Company disclosures are often looked at as narrative rather than argumentative or directive texts. And yet “irrealis” statements – references to future or hypothetical processes – do play a role and contribute greatly to the construction of corporate identity. Combining a corpus and a discourse perspective, the paper looks at references to the future in a corpus of CSR reports. After a preliminary analysis of frequency data, a case study of markers of futurity is presented, focusing on ways of expressing (...)
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  46.  38
    Social anxiety predicts avoidance behaviour in virtual encounters.Mike Rinck, Tobias Rörtgen, Wolf-Gero Lange, Ron Dotsch, Daniël Hj Wigboldus & Eni S. Becker - 2010 - Cognition and Emotion 24 (7):1269-1276.
  47.  5
    Epistemic responsibility predicts developing frame awareness in early childhood: A language socialization perspective.Sarah Rose Bellavance - 2022 - Discourse Studies 24 (6):675-691.
    This article examines the emergent relationship between epistemic responsibility and frame awareness in early childhood, wherein a mother uses language socialization practices to guide her child into a new frame. The pair co-constructs the parameters of the new frame through negotiation of epistemic responsibility and remedial interchanges. The analysis demonstrates that these remedial interchanges arise from conflicting understandings of the embeddedness of frames and the epistemic dynamics that these frames entail. The child maintains epistemic primacy in her concurrent play frame, (...)
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  48.  14
    The sweet spot between predictability and surprise: musical groove in brain, body, and social interactions.Jan Stupacher, Tomas Edward Matthews, Victor Pando-Naude, Olivia Foster Vander Elst & Peter Vuust - 2022 - Frontiers in Psychology 13.
    Groove—defined as the pleasurable urge to move to a rhythm—depends on a fine-tuned interplay between predictability arising from repetitive rhythmic patterns, and surprise arising from rhythmic deviations, for example in the form of syncopation. The perfect balance between predictability and surprise is commonly found in rhythmic patterns with a moderate level of rhythmic complexity and represents the sweet spot of the groove experience. In contrast, rhythms with low or high complexity are usually associated with a weaker experience of groove because (...)
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  49.  35
    Post-event Processing Predicts Impaired Cortisol Recovery Following Social Stressor: The Moderating Role of Social Anxiety.Shunta Maeda, Tomoya Sato, Hironori Shimada & Hideki Tsumura - 2017 - Frontiers in Psychology 8:302895.
    There is growing evidence that individuals with social anxiety show impaired cortisol recovery after experiencing social evaluative stressors. Yet, little is known regarding the cognitive processes underlying such impaired cortisol recovery. The present study examined the effect of post-event processing (PEP), referred to as repetitive thinking about social situations, on cortisol recovery following a social stressor. Forty-two non-clinical university students (23 women, 19 men, mean age = 22.0 ± 2.0 years) completed the Trier Social Stress (...)
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  50.  24
    Social anxiety and the accuracy of predicted affect.Shannon M. Martin & Stuart W. Quirk - 2015 - Cognition and Emotion 29 (1):51-63.
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