The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States

Frontiers in Psychology 11 (2020)
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On the psychology of prediction.Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky - 1973 - Psychological Review 80 (4):237-251.
Features of similarity.Amos Tversky - 1977 - Psychological Review 84 (4):327-352.
Use of heuristics: Insights from forecasting research.Nigel Harvey - 2007 - Thinking and Reasoning 13 (1):5 – 24.

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