Fallacy and controversy about base rates

Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):31-32 (1996)
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Abstract

Koehler's target article attempts a balanced view of the relevance of knowledge of base rates to judgments of subjective or credal probability, but he is not sensitive enough to the difference between requiring and permitting the equation of probability judgments with base rates, the interaction between precision of base rate and reference class information, and the possibility of indeterminate probability judgment.

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Isaac Levi
PhD: Columbia University

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References found in this work

The Structure of Scientific Revolutions.Thomas Samuel Kuhn - 1962 - Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Edited by Otto Neurath.
A Treatise on Probability.John Maynard Keynes - 1921 - London,: Macmillan & co..

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