Abstract

Strategical prognostication is very important in order to make a foreign policy of the state stable and consistent, so in other words, effective. State policy with the certain goals that are implemented in the right way, when there are different equal conditions is more inflential in the international relations than pragmatic policy that has no certain strategy and is flctuating between the different perspectives. National and political personalities of the active state-participants on the world politics arena are interested in the stable and certain conceptual providing of its strategies on the international arena. This is the main reason they are using the potential of the analytical institutions, including “think tanks”, which stuff is constantly researching all the current events in their countries and as well as abroad, in order to determinate the main features and vectors of the policy, broaden it and the politicians as well with the certain ideas. Strategical prognostication can be considered as a conceptual effort aimed at the determination and researching of the key features, particularly, alternative versions of the foreign state policy vectors. The next important key feature of the strategical prognostication can be considered the identifiation and certain presentation of the new goals that are settled by the state and international organization, making the corrections is the previous goals modifiation of the outer world actions. And fially, every time strategical prognostication can provide the effective comparison of the strategical aims reaching mechanisms, using the alternative methods based on the reasonable choice out of the several variants. Effective prognostication is possible only in terms of constant prognosis correction taking in to account the brand new information. Prognostication cannot be considered as an absolute statement that is referring to the words such as “will be” or “will happen”. It should be used as a relative tool activity that can be shown as a following formula: “Can exist or can happen in the certain conditions”