Salmon, Statistics, and Backwards Causation

PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1978:302-313 (1978)
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Abstract

In order to explain why falling barometers don't cause rain, a "no-eclipsing" requirement needs to be added to the regularity account of causation. This refinement of the regularity account allows us to see how conclusions about deterministic causes can be based on statistical premises, and thus indicates a criticism of Wesley Salmon 's "statistical relevance" account of causation. The refinement also casts some light on the problem of backwards causation

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David Papineau
King's College London

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